Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sondrio vs Caldiero Terme

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Longo P.
63' Event
Zerbato L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Sondrio and Caldiero Terme finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sondrio
30%
Draws
34%
Caldiero Terme
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sondrio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Caldiero Terme have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Sondrio are scoring more at 1.25.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sondrio taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 20%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sondrio Caldiero Terme
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Caldiero Terme
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Sondrio
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sondrio Compare

Top Goalscorer Longo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Zerbato L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sondrio 36 / 100
Caldiero Terme 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sondrio Caldiero Terme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldiero Terme let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sondrio scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Sondrio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sondrio VS Caldiero Terme
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sondrio

(Home)
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1
Sondrio
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1
Real Calepina
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1
Sondrio
Page 1 of 6

Caldiero Terme

(Away)
03 May
Caldiero Terme
2 : 2
Varesina
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 2
Brusaporto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore Caratese341911458:2768
2USD Casatese341613549:2861
3Chievo341861052:4360
4AC Milan U23341681062:3756
5AC Leon341411944:3453
6Brusaporto341561341:3851
7Oltrepo341581138:3650
8Scanzorosciate341114941:3347
9Villa Valle341381343:4647
10Ciserano-Bergamo3411131033:3146
11Caldiero Terme341015950:4045
12Real Calepina341191442:4742
13Castellanzese3410111341:3941
14Breno349111439:5138
15Pavia349101536:4737
16Varesina347151238:4436
17Sondrio34871937:6431
18Vogherese34282421:80-17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)