Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Longo P.
63'
63'
Zerbato L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Sondrio and Caldiero Terme finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Sondrio have managed 1.19 goals a game lately — Caldiero Terme are scoring more at 1.72.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Sondrio taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 12%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sondrio | Caldiero Terme |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Caldiero Terme
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Sondrio
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sondrio Compare
Top Goalscorer Longo P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Caldiero Terme Compare
Top Goalscorer Zerbato L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sondrio 38 / 100
Caldiero Terme 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sondrio Caldiero Terme
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sondrio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caldiero Terme let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Sondrio scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Sondrio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sondrio VS Caldiero Terme
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sondrio
(Home) 02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1 Sondrio
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1 Real Calepina
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3 Sondrio
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1 Sondrio
Page 1 of 7
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1 Real Calepina
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
29 Mar
Sondrio
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
15 Mar
Sondrio
2 : 1 USD Casatese
22 Feb
Sondrio
1 : 2 Pavia
Page 1 of 3
Caldiero Terme
(Away) 20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0 Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
03 May
Caldiero Terme
2 : 2 Varesina
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6 Caldiero Terme
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
29 Mar
Folgore Caratese
3 : 1 Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
