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Sondrio vs Ciliverghe Mazzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
D'Alpaos R.
42' Event
Ojeda P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Sondrio and Ciliverghe Mazzano finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sondrio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sondrio
6%
Draws
4%
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sondrio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ciliverghe Mazzano haven't matched Sondrio's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sondrio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 18%
Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sondrio Ciliverghe Mazzano
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Sondrio
1:3
Mar 6, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Sondrio
3:0
Nov 8, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
0:1
Mar 25, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Sondrio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sondrio Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Alpaos R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ojeda P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ciliverghe Mazzano Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sondrio 85 / 100
Ciliverghe Mazzano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sondrio Ciliverghe Mazzano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciliverghe Mazzano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Sondrio's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Sondrio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sondrio VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ospitaletto382112566:3475
2Pro Palazzolo382010869:3670
3Desenzano Calvina381912751:2969
4USD Casatese381911858:3468
5Folgore Caratese382081066:4268
6Varesina381713861:4464
7Chievo381691349:3757
8Pro Sesto3813131245:4352
9Club Milano381471744:5049
10Sant'Angelo3811151241:4148
11Sondrio3812111539:5147
12Breno3811141342:5347
13Castellanzese3810161243:5346
14Vigasio3811121539:4145
15Sangiuliano City3811121539:4645
16Crema3811111648:5744
17Magenta388121833:5336
18Fanfulla386141828:5732
19Ciliverghe Mazzano387102141:7031
20Arconatese387102133:6431