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Soneja vs Roda

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Tejon P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 game between Soneja and Roda finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Soneja
15%
Draws
34%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Soneja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Soneja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Soneja's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Soneja Clean Sheet 68%
Roda Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soneja Roda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Soneja
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Soneja vs Roda
0:1
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Soneja
0:0
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Soneja vs Roda
1:1
Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Soneja vs Roda
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Soneja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Tejon P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soneja 68 / 100
Roda 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soneja Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Soneja scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Roda has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Soneja has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Roda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Soneja VS Roda
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Soneja

(Home)
09 May
Soneja
5 : 2
Espanol de San Vicente
02 May
Roda
0 : 1
Soneja
25 Apr
Soneja
2 : 3
Recambios Colon
19 Apr
Torrellano
0 : 1
Soneja
15 Apr
Soneja
1 : 2
Hercules B
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Roda

(Away)
09 May
Crevillente
2 : 0
Roda
02 May
Roda
0 : 1
Soneja
26 Apr
CD Bunol
0 : 1
Roda
18 Apr
Roda
3 : 1
Utiel
12 Apr
Vall de Uxo
1 : 0
Roda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)