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Stadium Background

Song Lam Nghe An vs Binh Duong

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Vinh Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Le V. T.
29' Event
Moore R.
42'
Sub
Tran Minh Toan In: Nguyen Van Cong
Out: Tran Minh Toan

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 game between Song Lam Nghe An and Binh Duong finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Song Lam Nghe An.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Song Lam Nghe An
39%
Draws
30%
Binh Duong
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Song Lam Nghe An come out ahead of Binh Duong on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular V.League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Song Lam Nghe An have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Song Lam Nghe An Clean Sheet 17%
Binh Duong Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Song Lam Nghe An Binh Duong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Binh Duong
2:1
Jun 26, 2025 Vietnamese Cup
Song Lam Nghe An vs Binh Duong
3:2
Feb 22, 2025 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Song Lam Nghe An
2:1
Jan 23, 2025 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Binh Duong
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Song Lam Nghe An Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Binh Duong Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngo Tung Quoc
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Song Lam Nghe An 31 / 100
Binh Duong 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Song Lam Nghe An Binh Duong

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binh Duong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Song Lam Nghe An scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Binh Duong registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Song Lam Nghe An VS Binh Duong
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324