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Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Vinh Stadium, Vinh
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Song Lam Nghe An host Ho Chi Minh in the V.League 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ho Chi Minh have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Song Lam Nghe An have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Song Lam Nghe An have won 0 to Ho Chi Minh's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.19) back Ho Chi Minh to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Song Lam Nghe An
15%
Draws
26%
Ho Chi Minh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Song Lam Nghe An

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Song Lam Nghe An haven't matched Ho Chi Minh's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Song Lam Nghe An's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular V.League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Song Lam Nghe An Clean Sheet 20%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Song Lam Nghe An Ho Chi Minh
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.18 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh
2:3
Apr 6, 2025 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh
0:0
May 13, 2024 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Song Lam Nghe An 76 / 100
Ho Chi Minh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Song Lam Nghe An Ho Chi Minh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Song Lam Nghe An Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Song Lam Nghe An scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Ho Chi Minh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Song Lam Nghe An went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Song Lam Nghe An VS Ho Chi Minh
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Song Lam Nghe An

(Home)
06 Oct
Lam Dong
0 : 2
Song Lam Nghe An
12 Sept
Hanoi FC
1 : 4
Song Lam Nghe An
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
07 Jun
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 3
PVF-CAND
31 May
Nam Dinh
3 : 0
Song Lam Nghe An
Page 1 of 6

Ho Chi Minh

(Away)
07 Oct
Ratchaburi
1 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Song Lam Nghe An 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Da Nang 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
6 Nam Dinh 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
7 Ho Chi Minh 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Thanh Hoa 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
9 Bac Ninh 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Hai Phong 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
11 Viettel 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
12 Hanoi FC 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
13 Gia Lai 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
14 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 2027/2028 (Main)