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Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Arminia Bielefeld - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
Sonnenhof Grossaspach Logo

Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Sat, Aug 22, 2026
3 - 2
04:00 PM
Arminia Bielefeld Logo

Arminia Bielefeld

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Eisele F.
11'
Sicker A.
12' Event
Rahn E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
35%
Draws
32%
Arminia Bielefeld
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Sonnenhof Grossaspach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sonnenhof Grossaspach have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arminia Bielefeld, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Arminia Bielefeld have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sonnenhof Grossaspach Clean Sheet 16%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonnenhof Grossaspach Arminia Bielefeld
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.86 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 DFB Pokal
Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Arminia Bielefeld
3:2
May 23, 2015 3. Liga
Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Arminia Bielefeld
0:1
Nov 28, 2014 3. Liga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonnenhof Grossaspach Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahn E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Arminia Bielefeld Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grodowski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonnenhof Grossaspach 31 / 100
Arminia Bielefeld 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonnenhof Grossaspach Arminia Bielefeld

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arminia Bielefeld Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonnenhof Grossaspach scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Arminia Bielefeld's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Sonnenhof Grossaspach went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sonnenhof Grossaspach VS Arminia Bielefeld
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonnenhof Grossaspach

(Home)
10 Oct
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 5
Mannheim
02 Oct
Kaiserslautern
1 : 1
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
19 Sept
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
15 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 1
Verl
12 Sept
TSV Havelse
2 : 2
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Page 1 of 6

Arminia Bielefeld

(Away)
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
RW Essen
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
Heidenheim
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3
Arminia Bielefeld 2
Energie Cottbus 0
Augsburg 2
Jeddeloh 5
Heidenheim 2
Saarbrucken 1
Hertha Berlin 2
RW Essen 2
St. Pauli 0
Eintracht Trier 0
RB Leipzig 6
Wurzburger Kickers 1
1. FC Koln 2
Braunschweig 2
Union Berlin 4
Westfalia Rhynern 0
Dresden 6
Hallescher 2
Schalke 5
HEBC Hamburg 0
Dortmund 5
Luneburger Hansa 0
Werder Bremen 3
Greuther Furth 1
Bochum 2
Krieschow 0
Mainz 9
Verl 0
Hamburger 3
SC St.Tonis 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 11
Schott Mainz 0
B. Monchengladbach 5
Preussen Munster 1
Karlsruher 2
Munich 1860 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Aue 0
Hoffenheim 4
Wehen 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Nurnberg 2
Hemelingen 1
Hannover 9
Mannheim 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Phonix Lubeck 2
Paderborn 4
Hansa Rostock 0
VfB Stuttgart 4
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 5
Altglienicke 3
Wolfsburg 4
Duisburg 1
Elversberg 3
Jena 1
Darmstadt 2
VfL Osnabruck 1
Bayern Munich 4
Bahlinger 0
Magdeburg 4
1/16-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach -
Augsburg -
Jeddeloh -
Hertha Berlin -
RW Essen -
RB Leipzig -
1. FC Koln -
Union Berlin -
Dresden -
Schalke -
Dortmund -
Werder Bremen -
Bochum -
Mainz -
Hamburger -
Eintracht Frankfurt -
B. Monchengladbach -
Karlsruher -
Holstein Kiel -
Hoffenheim -
Bayer Leverkusen -
Nurnberg -
Hannover -
Kaiserslautern -
Paderborn -
VfB Stuttgart -
Freiburg -
Wolfsburg -
Elversberg -
Darmstadt -
Bayern Munich -
Magdeburg -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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