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Stadium Background

Sonsbeck vs Baumberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026
Sonsbeck Logo

Sonsbeck

2 - 4
FT
Baumberg Logo

Baumberg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026 game between Sonsbeck and Baumberg finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baumberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sonsbeck
30%
Draws
41%
Baumberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baumberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sonsbeck have managed 1.33 goals a game lately — Baumberg are scoring more at 1.68.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sonsbeck taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sonsbeck Clean Sheet 13%
Baumberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonsbeck Baumberg
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Sonsbeck
1:1
May 17, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
Sonsbeck vs Baumberg
2:4
Nov 29, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Sonsbeck
3:1
May 25, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Sonsbeck vs Baumberg
4:1
Nov 30, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Sonsbeck
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonsbeck 35 / 100
Baumberg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonsbeck Baumberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Sonsbeck scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Baumberg conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Sonsbeck went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sonsbeck VS Baumberg
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonsbeck

(Home)
15 Aug
Baumberg
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
05 Aug
Sonsbeck
2 : 2
Frintrop
03 Jun
SV Biemenhorst
4 : 2
Sonsbeck
31 May
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
SC St.Tonis
17 May
Sonsbeck
2 : 4
Baumberg
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Baumberg

(Away)
15 Aug
Baumberg
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
18 Jul
Baumberg
0 : 7
Bayer Leverkusen
07 Jun
Buderich
3 : 1
Baumberg
31 May
Baumberg
7 : 1
SV Biemenhorst
17 May
Sonsbeck
2 : 4
Baumberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilden 34 22 3 9 90:48 69
2 Germania Ratingen 34 19 10 5 86:48 67
3 Uerdingen 34 19 6 9 58:43 63
4 Schonnebeck 34 17 10 7 81:47 61
5 SC St.Tonis 34 16 7 11 80:55 55
6 Meerbusch 34 15 5 14 49:60 50
7 Dingden 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 34 11 11 12 47:42 44
9 Baumberg 34 12 8 14 58:66 44
10 SW Essen 34 13 5 16 53:62 44
11 FC Monheim 34 12 7 15 48:56 43
12 Sonsbeck 34 12 6 16 47:59 42
13 Buderich 34 12 6 16 62:77 42
14 Frintrop 34 12 5 17 57:57 41
15 Holzheim 34 10 11 13 49:62 41
16 Kleve 34 11 8 15 43:62 41
17 Homberg 34 10 6 18 51:61 36
18 SV Biemenhorst 34 8 3 23 55:106 27
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)