Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sonseca vs Toledo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Contento A.
90' Event
Barroso V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sonseca
11%
Draws
80%
Toledo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Toledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toledo lately — more wins on the board than Sonseca.
  • Model gives Toledo a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sonseca Clean Sheet 14%
Toledo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonseca Toledo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 17
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sonseca vs Toledo
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Sonseca
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonseca Compare

Top Goalscorer Contento A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Barroso V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonseca 11 / 100
Toledo 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonseca Toledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Sonseca scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Toledo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Toledo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sonseca VS Toledo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonseca

(Home)
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0
Marchamalo
03 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 2
Sonseca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Sonseca
1 : 2
Villarrobledo
11 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1
Sonseca
Page 1 of 6

Toledo

(Away)
24 May
Toledo
0 : 1
Albacete B
17 May
Albacete B
0 : 0
Toledo
10 May
CD Pedroneras
1 : 0
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Puertollano C.F.
26 Apr
San Clemente
0 : 4
Toledo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Puertollano C.F.34228454:2174
2CD Tarancon34227562:2573
3Toledo341911455:1768
4Albacete B341713449:1764
5Manchego Ciudad Real34187952:2961
6Villarrubia341581142:3553
7Villacanas3412121029:2648
8San Clemente3412111136:4447
9CD Guadalajara B3411101330:3743
10Villarrobledo3410131130:3643
11Huracan de Balazote341251733:4541
12Illescas348131321:3237
13Marchamalo341071738:4737
14La Solana348111526:3835
15Azuqueca347131434:3934
16CD Pedroneras347121528:4333
17Sonseca34572228:6922
18Cazalegas34462417:6418
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 (Play Offs)