Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sonseca vs Toledo Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Contento A.
90' Event
Barroso V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sonseca
15%
Draws
46%
Toledo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toledo lately — more wins on the board than Sonseca.
  • Model gives Toledo a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sonseca Clean Sheet 15%
Toledo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonseca Toledo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sonseca vs Toledo
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Sonseca
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonseca Compare

Top Goalscorer Contento A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Barroso V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonseca 15 / 100
Toledo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonseca Toledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toledo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Sonseca scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Toledo conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sonseca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sonseca VS Toledo
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.83 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonseca

(Home)
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0
Marchamalo
03 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 2
Sonseca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Sonseca
1 : 2
Villarrobledo
11 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1
Sonseca
Page 1 of 6

Toledo

(Away)
27 Sept
Toledo
4 : 0
La Solana
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4
Toledo
05 Aug
Toledo
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)