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Sonseca vs Villarrobledo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Navarro A.
23' Event
Munoz D.
32' Event
Sanchez Gomez J. D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Villarrobledo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarrobledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sonseca
30%
Draws
35%
Villarrobledo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Villarrobledo have won more games recently than Sonseca.
  • Win probability leans Villarrobledo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sonseca Clean Sheet 18%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonseca Villarrobledo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sonseca vs Villarrobledo
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Sonseca
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonseca Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Villarrobledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonseca 15 / 100
Villarrobledo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonseca Villarrobledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarrobledo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Sonseca found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Villarrobledo conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Sonseca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sonseca VS Villarrobledo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonseca

(Home)
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0
Marchamalo
03 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 2
Sonseca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Sonseca
1 : 2
Villarrobledo
11 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1
Sonseca
Page 1 of 6

Villarrobledo

(Away)
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1
Yeclano
09 May
Villacanas
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)