Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sonthofen vs Dachau

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Faller M.
45' Event
Faller M.
50' Event
Haug K.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2023/2024 game between Sonthofen and Dachau finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sonthofen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sonthofen
15%
Draws
21%
Dachau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sonthofen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sonthofen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sonthofen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sonthofen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sonthofen Clean Sheet 20%
Dachau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonthofen Dachau
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.26 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.40 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs Dachau
4:0
Sep 16, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Dachau vs Sonthofen
1:3
May 28, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Dachau vs Sonthofen
3:0
May 25, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs Dachau
2:1
May 4, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Dachau vs Sonthofen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonthofen Compare

Top Goalscorer Faller M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Haug K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.2

Dachau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonthofen 40 / 100
Dachau 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonthofen Dachau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonthofen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dachau conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Sonthofen scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dachau's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sonthofen VS Dachau
2.13 Goals Scored 0.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.67
100% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonthofen

(Home)
02 Jul
Illertissen
2 : 0
Sonthofen
24 May
Sonthofen
1 : 0
TSV Schwabmunchen
21 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 0
Sonthofen
17 May
Sonthofen
0 : 4
Deisenhofen
03 May
Sonthofen
0 : 1
Memmingen
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Dachau

(Away)
31 Jan
Vfb Eichstatt
3 : 1
Dachau
01 Feb
Turkgucu Munchen
5 : 0
Dachau
03 Jul
Turkgucu Munchen
3 : 1
Dachau
25 May
Dachau
1 : 2
Gundelfingen
22 May
Gundelfingen
2 : 2
Dachau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SV Erlbach 34 21 6 7 50:28 69
2 Heimstetten 34 21 5 8 64:37 68
3 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 20 7 7 76:35 67
4 Landsberg 34 21 3 10 86:52 66
5 Deisenhofen 34 18 9 7 68:37 63
6 Nordlingen 34 17 7 10 66:50 58
7 Munich 1860 II 34 16 7 11 62:49 55
8 Pipinsried 34 12 11 11 47:41 47
9 Kottern-St. Mang 34 12 11 11 59:53 47
10 Sonthofen 34 13 6 15 53:50 45
11 Rain/Lech 34 13 5 16 43:54 44
12 Kirchanschoring 34 12 7 15 38:49 43
13 Ismaning 34 12 7 15 44:62 43
14 Dachau 34 12 5 17 53:69 41
15 Gundelfingen 34 10 5 19 40:57 35
16 Turkspor Augsburg 34 6 11 17 29:52 29
17 Garching 34 6 4 24 37:86 22
18 Kirchheimer 34 3 6 25 38:92 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2023/2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2023/2024 (Relegation)