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Sorrento vs Bari

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Mantovani V.
34'
Darboe E.
45'
Viscardi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Sorrento and Bari finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sorrento
15%
Draws
44%
Bari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bari come out ahead of Sorrento on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 20%
Bari Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Bari
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Bari
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Starita E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bari Compare

Top Goalscorer Mantovani V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Butic K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 32 / 100
Bari 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Bari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorrento scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Bari conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sorrento remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Bari
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorrento

(Home)
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2
Sorrento
02 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Cosenza
Page 1 of 6

Bari

(Away)
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0
Potenza
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Casarano
01 Sept
Bari
2 : 1
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
2 Potenza 6 4 1 1 13:8 13
3 Bari 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 Casertana 6 3 3 0 11:8 12
5 Audace Cerignola 6 3 1 2 10:5 10
6 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
7 Casarano 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
8 Picerno 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
9 Salernitana 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
10 Monopoli 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
11 Catania 6 2 1 3 10:8 7
12 Barletta 6 1 4 1 10:9 7
13 Scafatese 6 1 4 1 8:9 7
14 Altamura 6 2 1 3 4:8 7
15 A.C. Savoia 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
16 Foggia 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Cavese 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Giugliano 6 1 1 4 11:16 4
19 Cosenza 6 0 2 4 5:15 2
20 Crotone 6 0 3 3 5:9 -3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)