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Stadium Background

Sorrento vs Crotone Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Cuccurullo M.
51'
Puzone M.
55'
Rodriguez P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Sorrento and Crotone finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sorrento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sorrento
30%
Draws
28%
Crotone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sorrento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sorrento come out ahead of Crotone on wins alone.
  • Sorrento are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 68%
Crotone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Crotone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Crotone
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Crotone
2:2
Nov 25, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Sorrento vs Crotone
1:3
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Sorrento
3:1
Feb 1, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Crotone
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricci F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Crotone Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 95 / 100
Crotone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Crotone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sorrento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Crotone conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sorrento found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Sorrento remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Crotone
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorrento

(Home)
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2
Sorrento
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Crotone

(Away)
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Bari 7 5 1 1 10:4 16
3 Sorrento 7 5 0 2 10:7 15
4 Picerno 7 4 0 3 14:11 12
5 Casertana 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 7 3 2 2 6:4 11
7 Audace Cerignola 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 Catania 7 3 1 3 12:9 10
9 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
10 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
11 Casarano 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
12 Salernitana 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
13 Foggia 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
14 Cavese 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
15 Barletta 7 1 4 2 11:13 7
16 Altamura 7 2 1 4 4:10 7
17 A.C. Savoia 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
18 Giugliano 6 1 1 4 11:16 4
19 Cosenza 7 0 2 5 5:16 2
20 Crotone 7 1 3 3 7:10 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)