Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani

Sorrento

0 - 2

Salernitana

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Fusco F. In: Shaw K.

Out: Fusco F.

35'

Cuccurullo M.

40'

Villa L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Salernitana in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salernitana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Sorrento

28%

Draws

50%

Salernitana

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Salernitana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Salernitana have won more games recently than Sorrento.
Win probability leans Salernitana's way, sitting at 50%.
Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Sorrento Clean Sheet 12%

Salernitana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sorrento	Salernitana
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	14
Draws	7	8
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	1	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.57	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie C - Group C

Sorrento vs Salernitana

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Sep 14, 2025 Serie C - Group C

Salernitana vs Sorrento

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Aug 17, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C

Salernitana vs Sorrento

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Dec 19, 2010 Lega Pro C1/A

Salernitana vs Sorrento

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

1:4

Aug 22, 2010 Lega Pro C1/A

Sorrento vs Salernitana

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Salernitana Compare

Top Goalscorer Villa L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lescano F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 22 / 100

Salernitana 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sorrento Salernitana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Sorrento's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Salernitana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Sorrento stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Salernitana

1 Goals Scored 1.88

1.57 Goals Conceded 1.5

86% Over 1.5 75%

43% Over 2.5 75%

29% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Benevento	38	25	7	6	74:28	82
2	Catania	38	19	13	6	54:25	70
3	Salernitana	38	20	9	9	50:42	69
4	Cosenza	38	19	10	9	58:40	67
5	Casertana	38	19	9	10	55:44	66
6	Crotone	38	18	7	13	59:40	61
7	Monopoli	38	15	11	12	39:41	56
8	Casarano	38	16	8	14	56:57	56
9	Audace Cerignola	38	14	12	12	50:54	54
10	Potenza	38	12	13	13	54:56	49
11	Atalanta U23	38	11	12	15	53:50	45
12	Altamura	38	11	12	15	32:49	45
13	Latina	38	10	12	16	35:44	42
14	Cavese	38	9	15	14	36:42	42
15	Picerno	38	9	13	16	43:55	40
16	Sorrento	38	9	12	17	39:55	39
17	Giugliano	38	9	10	19	35:52	37
18	Foggia	38	6	9	23	28:60	27
19	Siracusa	38	9	10	19	48:57	26
20	Trapani	38	13	10	15	47:54	24