Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sorrento vs Trapani

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
Wed, Oct 29, 2025
2 - 1
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Vazquez F.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Sabbatani A.
1' Event
D'Ursi E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Sorrento advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Sorrento
35%
Draws
10%
Trapani
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sorrento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Sorrento carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Sorrento taking it.
  • Sorrento have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Trapani, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 68%
Trapani Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Trapani
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Sorrento
4:0
Oct 29, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Sorrento vs Trapani
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Trapani
1:2
Feb 16, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Sorrento
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Trapani
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabbatani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Trapani Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 86 / 100
Trapani 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Trapani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sorrento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Trapani conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Sorrento has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sorrento's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Trapani
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorrento

(Home)
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Crotone
24 Aug
Salernitana
1 : 2
Sorrento
16 Aug
Giugliano
0 : 1
Sorrento
26 Apr
Picerno
0 : 0
Sorrento
19 Apr
Sorrento
1 : 1
Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 6

Trapani

(Away)
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
19 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Trapani
12 Apr
Trapani
1 : 2
Salernitana
04 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 1
Trapani
29 Mar
Foggia
1 : 0
Trapani
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2