Sport Picks

Brazil

Matogrossense 2

Campo Novo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sorriso EC play Campo Novo in the Matogrossense 2. Sorriso EC are favorites here. Recently, Sorriso EC averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Campo Novo averaged 0.92 goals scored and 3.08 conceded. In past meetings, Sorriso EC won 2, Campo Novo won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 9:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Sorriso EC and 0.94 for Campo Novo. This points to a Sorriso EC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%

Sorriso EC

15%

Draws

11%

Campo Novo

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sorriso EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sorriso EC picked up more points recently compared to Campo Novo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Sorriso EC Clean Sheet 24%

Campo Novo Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sorriso EC	Campo Novo
Matches Played	11	13
Wins	6	2
Draws	2	0
Losses	3	11
Goals Scored	2.55	0.92
Goals Conceded	1.09	3.08
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Matogrossense 2

Sorriso EC vs Campo Novo

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 2 - 4

9:0

Jul 6, 2025 Matogrossense 2

Campo Novo vs Sorriso EC

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorriso EC 71 / 100

Campo Novo 12 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sorriso EC Campo Novo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sorriso EC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Sorriso EC & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.5%

1.52

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sorriso EC attacking → ← attacking Campo Novo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorriso EC scored in 100% of their last 11 games.

Campo Novo let in goals in 92% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Sorriso EC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Campo Novo lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 6

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sinop FC	4	3	1	0	8:2	10
2	Sorriso EC	4	2	1	1	12:3	7
3	Santa Cruz MT	4	1	3	0	3:1	6
4	Gremio Sorriso	4	1	1	2	4:4	4
5	Campo Novo	4	0	0	4	1:18	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uirapuru	4	3	1	0	15:4	10
2	Acao	4	2	2	0	8:6	8
3	Cacerense	4	1	1	2	5:4	4
4	Paulistano FC	4	0	2	2	1:6	2
5	Atletico MT	4	0	2	2	3:12	2