Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sorriso EC vs Campo Novo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Sorriso EC Logo

Sorriso EC

4 - 1
FT
Campo Novo Logo

Campo Novo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sorriso EC
15%
Draws
0%
Campo Novo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sorriso EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Campo Novo haven't matched Sorriso EC's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sorriso EC taking it.
  • Sorriso EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sorriso EC, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sorriso EC here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sorriso EC Clean Sheet 20%
Campo Novo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorriso EC Campo Novo
Matches Played 16 17
Wins 8 2
Draws 2 0
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.44 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 3.12
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Sorriso EC vs Campo Novo
4:1
Sep 27, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Campo Novo vs Sorriso EC
0:4
May 1, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Sorriso EC vs Campo Novo
9:0
Jul 6, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Campo Novo vs Sorriso EC
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorriso EC 85 / 100
Campo Novo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorriso EC Campo Novo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sorriso EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorriso EC found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (16 games).

Campo Novo has conceded goals in 94% of their last 17 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Campo Novo's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sorriso EC VS Campo Novo
2.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorriso EC

(Home)
10 Oct
Sorriso EC
2 : 3
Cuiaba
03 Oct
Sorriso EC
4 : 1
Campo Novo
27 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
17 Sept
Cuiaba
4 : 0
Sorriso EC
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
Page 1 of 4

Campo Novo

(Away)
03 Oct
Sorriso EC
4 : 1
Campo Novo
27 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
17 May
Campo Novo
1 : 3
Sinop FC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
2 Chapada 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
3 Santa Cruz MT 5 2 0 3 8:7 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 6 2 0 4 10:15 6
5 Uirapuru 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 5 5 0 0 16:4 15
2 Sorriso EC 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
3 Cacerense 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
4 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)