Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sortland vs Harstad

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Gjerde T.
39' Event
Johnsen N.
59' Event
Celius U. R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2025 game between Sortland and Harstad finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sortland
15%
Draws
64%
Harstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Harstad come out ahead of Sortland on wins alone.
  • Harstad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Harstad have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sortland Clean Sheet 12%
Harstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sortland Harstad
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.21 2.9
Goals Conceded 3.43 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Sortland vs Harstad
0:4
May 31, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Harstad vs Sortland
4:1
Oct 20, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Sortland
3:1
Jul 22, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Sortland vs Harstad
3:2
Sep 3, 2017 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Sortland
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sortland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Harstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Gjerde T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnsen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sortland 10 / 100
Harstad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sortland Harstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sortland scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Sortland stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Harstad
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sortland

(Home)
26 Oct
Alta 2
7 : 1
Sortland
18 Oct
Sortland
0 : 4
Harstad
11 Oct
Sortland
1 : 4
Gamle Oslo
04 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Sortland
27 Sept
Sortland
4 : 1
Skjervoy
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Harstad

(Away)
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1
Ulfstind
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
30 Aug
Harstad
3 : 2
Floya
22 Aug
Harstad
0 : 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
16 Aug
Lillestrom 2
3 : 4
Harstad
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