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Stadium Background

Sortland vs Harstad

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Gjerde T.
39' Event
Johnsen N.
59' Event
Celius U. R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2025 game between Sortland and Harstad finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sortland
6%
Draws
90%
Harstad
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Harstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Harstad come out ahead of Sortland on wins alone.
  • Harstad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Harstad have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sortland Clean Sheet 10%
Harstad Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sortland Harstad
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.67 2.5
Goals Conceded 5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Sortland vs Harstad
0:4
May 31, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Harstad vs Sortland
4:1
Oct 20, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Sortland
3:1
Jul 22, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Sortland vs Harstad
3:2
Sep 3, 2017 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Sortland
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sortland Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Harstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Gjerde T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnsen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sortland 10 / 100
Harstad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sortland Harstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sortland scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Sortland stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sortland VS Harstad
0.67 Goals Scored 2.5
5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%