Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2009/2010

SK EPMU Tartu

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sorve play SK EPMU Tartu in the Estonian Cup 2009/2010. SK EPMU Tartu are favorites here. Recently, Sorve averaged 2 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. SK EPMU Tartu averaged 1.59 goals scored and 3.18 conceded. In past meetings, Sorve won 0, SK EPMU Tartu won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 19, 2009 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.64 for Sorve and 1.75 for SK EPMU Tartu. This points to a SK EPMU Tartu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Sorve

15%

Draws

70%

SK EPMU Tartu

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SK EPMU Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sorve picked up more points recently compared to SK EPMU Tartu.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.64 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Sorve Clean Sheet 12%

SK EPMU Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sorve	SK EPMU Tartu
Matches Played	7	17
Wins	1	7
Draws	0	0
Losses	6	10
Goals Scored	2	1.59
Goals Conceded	1.57	3.18
Expected Goals (xG)	0.40	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2009 Estonian Cup

Sorve vs SK EPMU Tartu

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorve 16 / 100

SK EPMU Tartu 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sorve SK EPMU Tartu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SK EPMU Tartu Win (2)

Secondary Pick SK EPMU Tartu & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sorve attacking → ← attacking SK EPMU Tartu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorve scored in 43% of their last 7 games.

SK EPMU Tartu let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Sorve went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

SK EPMU Tartu lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 21

0.40 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88