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Sousa vs Botafogo PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Marcelo
46'
Sub
Mateuzinho In: Veraldo
Out: Mateuzinho
58'
Sub
Kiko In: Matheus Bambu
Out: Kiko

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sousa
20%
Draws
51%
Botafogo PB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botafogo PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botafogo PB lately — more wins on the board than Sousa.
  • Botafogo PB are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Botafogo PB arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Botafogo PB, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sousa Clean Sheet 16%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sousa Botafogo PB
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Sousa vs Botafogo PB
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Sousa
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Paraibano
Sousa vs Botafogo PB
1:2
Jan 24, 2026 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Sousa
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Sousa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sousa Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Azevedo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dudu Hatamoto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sousa 23 / 100
Botafogo PB 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sousa Botafogo PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo PB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sousa's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Botafogo PB conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Sousa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sousa VS Botafogo PB
0 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sousa

(Home)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
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Botafogo PB

(Away)
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Serra Branca 2
Botafogo PB 3
Sousa 2
Campinense 1
Final
Botafogo PB 2
Sousa 1