Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sousa vs Campinense

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Antonio Mariz (Marizao), Sousa
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Felipe Jacare
22'
Sub
Lucas Gabriel In: Raphinha
Out: Lucas Gabriel
22'
Sub
Joao Cabral In: Bruno Menezes
Out: Joao Cabral

AI Match Summary

Sousa in this Paraibano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sousa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sousa
20%
Draws
51%
Campinense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Campinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sousa lately — more wins on the board than Campinense.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Sousa Clean Sheet 23%
Campinense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sousa Campinense
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.94 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Paraibano
Campinense vs Sousa
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 Paraibano
Sousa vs Campinense
0:1
Feb 18, 2026 Paraibano
Campinense vs Sousa
1:1
Jan 29, 2025 Paraibano
Sousa vs Campinense
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 Paraibano
Sousa vs Campinense
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sousa Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Jacare
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Campinense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sousa 33 / 100
Campinense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sousa Campinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sousa's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Campinense has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sousa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sousa VS Campinense
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sousa

(Home)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
Page 1 of 7

Campinense

(Away)
08 Mar
Campinense
0 : 2
Sousa
28 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
Campinense
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
18 Feb
Campinense
1 : 1
Sousa
14 Feb
Campinense
1 : 0
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)