Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sousa vs Confianca

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Estadio Antonio Mariz (Marizao), Sousa
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Everton Heleno
25' Event
Everton Heleno
41'
Danielzinho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sousa
30%
Draws
23%
Confianca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sousa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Confianca haven't matched Sousa's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sousa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sousa, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sousa have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sousa Clean Sheet 68%
Confianca Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sousa Confianca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.97 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Sousa vs Confianca
4:1
Jan 5, 2023 Copa do Nordeste
Confianca vs Sousa
1:0
Oct 19, 2021 Copa do Nordeste
Confianca vs Sousa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sousa Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Heleno
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diego Viana
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Confianca Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Moura
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sousa 41 / 100
Confianca 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sousa Confianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sousa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sousa scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Confianca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Confianca's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sousa VS Confianca
0.2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.2 Goals Conceded 1
60% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sousa

(Home)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
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Confianca

(Away)
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
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