Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sousa vs Pombal

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Antonio Mariz (Marizao), Sousa
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Marcelo
44'
Jardel
46'
Sub
Jardel In: Pedro Lucas
Out: Jardel

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2025 game between Sousa and Pombal finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sousa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sousa
20%
Draws
51%
Pombal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pombal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sousa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sousa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sousa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sousa Clean Sheet 20%
Pombal Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sousa Pombal
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Paraibano
Sousa vs Pombal
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Pombal vs Sousa
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Paraibano
Sousa vs Pombal
1:0
Jan 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Sousa vs Pombal
2:1
Mar 16, 2024 Paraibano
Sousa vs Pombal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sousa Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Pombal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sousa 42 / 100
Pombal 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sousa Pombal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pombal let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sousa scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sousa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sousa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sousa

(Home)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
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Pombal

(Away)
22 Feb
Sousa
2 : 0
Pombal
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Pombal
3 : 1
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)