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Sousa vs Pombal

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Sousa Logo

Sousa

2 - 0
FT
Pombal Logo

Pombal

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Italo
35'
Sub
da Cruz I. J. In: Crystian
Out: da Cruz I. J.
46'
Sub
Kiko In: Matheus Bambu
Out: Kiko
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sousa in this Paraibano matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sousa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sousa
20%
Draws
51%
Pombal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pombal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sousa lately — more wins on the board than Pombal.
  • Model gives Sousa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sousa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sousa Clean Sheet 20%
Pombal Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sousa Pombal
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Paraibano
Sousa vs Pombal
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Pombal vs Sousa
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Paraibano
Sousa vs Pombal
1:0
Jan 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Sousa vs Pombal
2:1
Mar 16, 2024 Paraibano
Sousa vs Pombal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sousa Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Bambu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Veraldo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Pombal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sousa 42 / 100
Pombal 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sousa Pombal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pombal let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sousa scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Sousa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sousa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sousa

(Home)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
Page 1 of 7

Pombal

(Away)
22 Feb
Sousa
2 : 0
Pombal
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Pombal
3 : 1
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)