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Sousense vs Paredes

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Sousense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sousense
15%
Draws
57%
Paredes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Paredes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Paredes taking it.
  • Paredes arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sousense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sousense Clean Sheet 19%
Paredes Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sousense Paredes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 3 9
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.66 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2017 Taça de Portugal
Sousense vs Paredes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sousense 16 / 100
Paredes 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sousense Paredes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paredes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sousense found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Paredes conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Sousense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sousense VS Paredes
0.67 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sousense

(Home)
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
25 Jul
Sousense
2 : 1
Uniao Lamas
22 Apr
Sousense
2 : 1
Gondomar
15 Apr
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
08 Apr
Sousense
0 : 2
Amarante FC
Page 1 of 6

Paredes

(Away)
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
Paredes
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2
Lusitania FC
22 Jul
AFS
2 : 4
Paredes
18 Jul
Santa Clara
2 : 0
Paredes
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Moreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Resende 1
Lamego 0
Uniao Lamas 2
Canelas 2010 3
Operario 2
Charneca Caparica 0
Recreativo Canaviais 1
Guadalupe 4
Pedras Salgadas 2
CDC Montalegre 0
Machico 0
FC Felgueiras 4
Chaves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Electrico FC 3
Mosteirense 0
Macao 0
Fatima 4
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gondomar 3
Regua 1
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aguia Vimioso 1
Desportivo Moncao 0
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres 1
Lusitano FCV 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
Ferreiras 2
Moura AC 5
Lusitano GC 3
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
GD Coruchense 2
Pero Pinheiro 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Cova De Piedade -
TBD -
Atletico Arcos 3
Minas de Argozelo 5
Pedras Rubras 3
Camacha 1
Agueda 0
Anadia 1
Amarante FC 1
AD Fafe 0
TBD -
Varzim -
Almodovar 5
CDR Quarteirense 2
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Sporting Ideal 3
AD Oliveirense 5
Sendim 0
Vilafranquense 1
Mafra 2
Mortagua FC 5
Figueirense 1
GS Loures 1
Torreense 2
GD Uniao Torcatense 2
Esposende 1
Oriental 1
Lusitano VRSA 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Vilaverdense FC 2
GD Braganca 0
Tocha 1
Esmoriz 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Sintrense 2
FC Crato 1
Aroes 0
Trofense 1
Covilha -
TBD -
Mondinense 0
Vizela 3
Famalicao -
TBD -
Rio Tinto 0
Coimbroes 1
SC Salgueiros 3
Cinfaes 2
FC Flamengos 0
Alta Lisboa 4
Oleiros 1
Alcanenense 0
Paredes 0
Sousense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Crato -
TBD -
SC Sabugal 2
Sanjoanense 3
Sao Martinho 2
SC Vila Real 1
Riachense 0
UC Idanhense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria e Marrazes -
TBD -
TBD -
Pinhalnovense -
Olhanense 3
Almancilense 1
TBD -
Lamego -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
U. Madeira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sertanense -
Marinhense 2
Sertanense 0
TBD -
Oriental -
Gafanha 1
Nogueirense 0
TBD -
SC Lourinhanense -
Maria de Fonte 2
SC Mirandela 1
Camara de Lobos 0
Freamunde 2
Leiria 3
GD Sourense 0
Leiria e Marrazes 1
SB Castelo Branco 5
Moncarapachense 1
Armacenenses 0
Alianca de Gandra 0
SC Espinho 1
SC Vila Real -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aves -
Caldas SC 2
SC Lourinhanense 0
SC Lusitania 0
Montijo 3
Aguias do Moradal 2
Alcains 1
Ferreira de Aves 0
FC Cesarense 1
GD Coruchense -
TBD -
TBD -
Mondinense -
Sacavenense 2
1º Dezembro 0
TBD -
Arouca -
Nacional -
TBD -
SC Pombal 0
Condeixa 3
Real SC -
TBD -
Cerveira 1
Merelinense 3
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Mirandela -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
SC Praiense 4
Vale Formoso 1
Castrense 1
Louletano 2
GD Braganca -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcains -
Casa Pia 2
Pinhalnovense 0
TBD -
Recreativo Canaviais -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Leixoes -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Sourense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Estoril -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amora 3
Vitoria FC Pico 0
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
SC Farense 7
1/64-finals
Moreirense -
TBD -
GD Resende 0
Canelas 2010 3
Operario 3
Guadalupe 2
Pedras Salgadas 1
FC Felgueiras 2
Chaves -
TBD -
Electrico FC 2
Fatima 4
BSAD -
TBD -
Gondomar 0
Santa Clara 1
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
Aguia Vimioso 2
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 3
Academico Viseu 1
Lusitano FCV 0
TBD -
Feirense -
Portimonense -
TBD -
Gil Vicente 0
Moura AC 1
Lusitano GC 4
Pero Pinheiro 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
Cova De Piedade 4
Minas de Argozelo 0
Pedras Rubras 0
Anadia 4
Amarante FC 1
Varzim 0
Almodovar 0
Sporting Ideal 1
AD Oliveirense 2
Mafra 1
Mortagua FC 0
Torreense 2
GD Uniao Torcatense 2
Lusitano VRSA 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
Vilaverdense FC 1
Esmoriz 0
TBD -
Boavista -
Sintrense 1
Trofense 0
Covilha 1
Vizela 2
Famalicao 3
Coimbroes 1
SC Salgueiros 2
Alta Lisboa 3
Oleiros 3
Sousense 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
FC Crato 0
Sanjoanense 3
Sao Martinho 4
UC Idanhense 0
TBD -
Braga -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
Leiria e Marrazes 0
Pinhalnovense 4
Olhanense 4
Lamego 1
TBD -
Benfica -
U. Madeira 2
Sertanense 0
Marinhense 0
Oriental 1
Gafanha 3
SC Lourinhanense 2
Maria de Fonte 2
Freamunde 4
Leiria 2
SB Castelo Branco 0
Moncarapachense 0
SC Espinho 1
SC Vila Real 1
Oliveirense 0
TBD -
Aves -
Caldas SC 1
Montijo 0
Aguias do Moradal 2
FC Cesarense 3
GD Coruchense 5
Mondinense 2
Sacavenense 0
Arouca 1
Nacional 3
Condeixa 1
Real SC 1
Merelinense 3
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
SC Mirandela 1
Academica 2
SC Praiense 2
Louletano 0
GD Braganca 1
Alcains 2
Casa Pia 5
Recreativo Canaviais 0
Penafiel 0
Vilafranquense 1
Leixoes 2
GD Sourense 0
TBD -
Tondela -
Estoril -
TBD -
Amora 2
SC Farense 3
1/32-finals
Moreirense 3
Canelas 2010 1
Operario 2
FC Felgueiras 4
Chaves 3
Fatima 0
BSAD 1
Santa Clara 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 6
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
Academico Viseu 0
Feirense 1
Portimonense 1
Moura AC 0
Lusitano GC 0
FC Porto 6
Cova De Piedade 2
Anadia 1
Amarante FC 1
Sporting Ideal 2
AD Oliveirense 1
Torreense 0
GD Uniao Torcatense 0
Maritimo 1
Vilaverdense FC 1
Boavista 0
Sintrense 1
Vizela 3
Famalicao 2
Alta Lisboa 0
Oleiros 2
Sporting CP 4
Rio Ave 4
Sanjoanense 0
Sao Martinho 2
Braga 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Olhanense 0
Benfica 1
U. Madeira 3
Oriental 2
Gafanha 0
Freamunde 1
Leiria 2
SC Espinho 0
SC Vila Real 0
Aves 1
Caldas SC 2
FC Cesarense 1
GD Coruchense 0
Arouca 3
Nacional 4
Merelinense 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Academica 2
SC Praiense 4
Alcains 1
Casa Pia 1
Vilafranquense 2
Leixoes 3
Tondela 2
Estoril 0
SC Farense 1
1/16-finals
Moreirense 5
FC Felgueiras 2
Chaves 0
Santa Clara 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Feirense 1
Portimonense 2
FC Porto 3
Cova De Piedade 4
Sporting Ideal 1
AD Oliveirense 2
Maritimo 3
Vilaverdense FC 3
Vizela 2
Famalicao 0
Sporting CP 2
Rio Ave 1
Braga 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
Benfica 2
U. Madeira 4
Freamunde 2
Leiria 0
Aves 3
Caldas SC 2
Arouca 1
Nacional 0
Academica 1
SC Praiense 3
Vilafranquense 2
Leixoes 1
SC Farense 2
1/8-finals
Moreirense 3
Santa Clara 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
FC Porto 4
Cova De Piedade 1
Maritimo 0
Vilaverdense FC 0
Sporting CP 4
Rio Ave 3
Benfica 2
U. Madeira 1
Aves 5
Caldas SC 2
Academica 1
SC Praiense 0
SC Farense 1
Quarter-finals
Moreirense 1
FC Porto 2
Cova De Piedade 1
Sporting CP 2
Rio Ave 4
Aves 5
Caldas SC 3
SC Farense 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 1
Sporting CP 2
Aves 3
Caldas SC 1
Final
Sporting CP 1
Aves 2