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South Adelaide vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Jatta S.
36' Event
Matikulas I.
67' Event
Osterstock J.

AI Match Summary

South Adelaide host Adelaide Croatia Raiders in the SA State League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Adelaide Croatia Raiders have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while South Adelaide have conceded 2.13 and scored 1. Head-to-head, South Adelaide have won 1 to Adelaide Croatia Raiders's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.38, favoring Adelaide Croatia Raiders. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
South Adelaide
6%
Draws
90%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Adelaide Croatia Raiders has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to South Adelaide.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Adelaide Croatia Raiders.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in SA State League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Adelaide Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 1
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs South Adelaide
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
0:3
Jun 15, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs South Adelaide
1:3
Mar 22, 2024 NPL South Australia
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
3:4
Aug 13, 2021 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs South Adelaide
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Adelaide Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer Jatta S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matikulas I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Adelaide 10 / 100
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Adelaide Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Adelaide scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

South Adelaide went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Adelaide VS Adelaide Croatia Raiders
1 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United17103437:2433
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Blue Eagles1793531:2530
6Modbury Jets1785431:1629
7Cumberland United1781829:2325
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711