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South Adelaide vs Fulham United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Murphy E.

AI Match Summary

Fulham United in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fulham United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
South Adelaide
6%
Draws
90%
Fulham United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fulham United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fulham United lately — more wins on the board than South Adelaide.
  • Fulham United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fulham United have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%
Fulham United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Adelaide Fulham United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Fulham United
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 SA State League
Fulham United vs South Adelaide
6:1
Aug 9, 2025 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Fulham United
1:4
May 17, 2025 SA State League
Fulham United vs South Adelaide
3:1
Sep 19, 2020 SA State League
Fulham United vs South Adelaide
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Adelaide Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fulham United Compare

Top Goalscorer Murphy E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Adelaide 10 / 100
Fulham United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Adelaide Fulham United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FUL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

South Adelaide's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fulham United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Fulham United has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

South Adelaide VS Fulham United
1 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United18103538:2733
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Blue Eagles1793531:2530
6Modbury Jets1785431:1629
7Cumberland United1891832:2428
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711