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South Adelaide vs Salisbury United Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

SA State League
South Adelaide Logo

South Adelaide

2 - 0
FT
Salisbury United Logo

Salisbury United

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Parker R.
34' Event
Conroy J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between South Adelaide and Salisbury United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Adelaide.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
South Adelaide
15%
Draws
51%
Salisbury United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salisbury United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • South Adelaide have managed 1.23 goals a game lately — Salisbury United are scoring more at 1.3.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Salisbury United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • South Adelaide have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%
Salisbury United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Adelaide Salisbury United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.23 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 SA State League
Salisbury United vs South Adelaide
2:3
May 16, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Salisbury United
2:0
Jul 19, 2025 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Salisbury United
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 SA State League
Salisbury United vs South Adelaide
0:4
Feb 10, 2018 Club Friendly
Salisbury United vs South Adelaide
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Adelaide Compare

Top Goalscorer Parker R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Conroy J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Salisbury United Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Adelaide 10 / 100
Salisbury United 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Adelaide Salisbury United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salisbury United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salisbury United has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

South Adelaide scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Salisbury United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Adelaide VS Salisbury United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

South Adelaide

(Home)
15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3
Adelaide Atletico
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3
South Adelaide
01 Aug
South Adelaide
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1
South Adelaide
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
Page 1 of 6

Salisbury United

(Away)
15 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Salisbury United
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3
South Adelaide
01 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 0
Salisbury United
24 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 3
Salisbury United
18 Jul
Salisbury United
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)