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South Africa vs South Korea

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio BBVA
Thu, Jun 25, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

South Africa host South Korea in the World Championship 2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: South Africa at 1.5 goals for, 1.25 against; South Korea at 1.13 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, South Africa have won 2 to South Korea's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 3-2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.19) back South Korea to edge this. South Korea in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
South Africa
11%
Draws
80%
South Korea
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: South Korea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • South Korea has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to South Africa.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for South Korea.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in World Championship 2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
South Africa Clean Sheet 20%
South Korea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Africa South Korea
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 19
Draws 12 6
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 World Championship 2026
South Africa vs South Korea
3-2
Apr 12, 2025 World Championship 2026
South Korea vs South Africa
0-1
Mar 12, 2025 World Championship 2026
South Africa vs South Korea
2-2
Feb 12, 2025 World Championship 2026
South Korea vs South Africa
3-2
Jan 12, 2025 World Championship 2026
South Africa vs South Korea
2-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa 12 / 100
South Korea 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Africa South Korea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

South Korea let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

South Africa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

South Korea lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Africa VS South Korea
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico11002:03
2South Korea11002:13
3Czech Republic10011:20
4South Africa10010:20
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland10101:11
2Canada10101:11
3Qatar10101:11
4Bosnia & Herzegovina10101:11
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland11001:03
2Morocco10101:11
3Brazil10101:11
4Haiti10010:10
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA11004:13
2Australia11002:03
3Turkey10010:20
4Paraguay10011:40
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany11007:13
2Ivory Coast11001:03
3Ecuador10010:10
4Curacao10011:70
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden11005:13
2Japan10102:21
3Netherlands10102:21
4Tunisia10011:50
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand10102:21
2Iran10102:21
3Belgium10101:11
4Egypt10101:11
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uruguay10101:11
2Saudi Arabia10101:11
3Spain10100:01
4Cape Verde10100:01
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway11004:13
2France11003:13
3Senegal10011:30
4Iraq10011:40
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Argentina11003:03
2Austria11003:13
3Jordan10011:30
4Algeria10010:30
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal00000:00
2Colombia00000:00
3D.R. Congo00000:00
4Uzbekistan00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia00000:00
2England00000:00
3Ghana00000:00
4Panama00000:00