Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Mbombela Stadium

South Africa

3 - 0

Rwanda

Our Tip

Match Events

Mbatha T.

Assist: Appollis O.

26'

Appollis O.

Assist: Makgopa E.

29'

Nshuti I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between South Africa and Rwanda finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Africa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

South Africa

39%

Draws

30%

Rwanda

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Rwanda haven't matched South Africa's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%

South Africa Clean Sheet 23%

Rwanda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	South Africa	Rwanda
Matches Played	35	28
Wins	14	10
Draws	13	6
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	1.75	1
Goals Conceded	1	0.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship

South Africa vs Rwanda

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

Nov 21, 2023 World Championship

Rwanda vs South Africa

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Oct 15, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations

South Africa vs Rwanda

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Oct 10, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations

Rwanda vs South Africa

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Africa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbatha T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Appollis O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Rwanda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa 33 / 100

Rwanda 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

South Africa Rwanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RWA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: South Africa scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Rwanda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

South Africa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

South Africa VS Rwanda

1.75 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 0.67

75% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 33%

25% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	10	8	2	0	20:2	26
2	Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	23:8	21
3	Sierra Leone	10	4	3	3	12:10	15
4	Guinea Bissau	10	2	4	4	8:10	10
5	Ethiopia	10	2	3	5	9:14	9
6	Djibouti	10	0	1	9	5:33	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	10	7	3	0	22:3	24
2	D.R. Congo	10	7	1	2	15:6	22
3	Sudan	10	3	4	3	8:6	13
4	Togo	10	1	5	4	5:10	8
5	Mauritania	10	1	4	5	4:13	7
6	South Sudan	10	0	5	5	3:19	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	10	5	3	2	15:9	18
2	Nigeria	10	4	5	1	15:8	17
3	Benin	10	5	2	3	12:11	17
4	Lesotho	10	3	3	4	9:12	12
5	Rwanda	10	3	2	5	5:9	11
6	Zimbabwe	10	0	5	5	5:12	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cape Verde	10	7	2	1	16:8	23
2	Cameroon	10	5	4	1	17:5	19
3	Libya	10	4	4	2	12:10	16
4	Angola	10	2	6	2	9:8	12
5	Mauritius	10	1	3	6	7:17	6
6	Eswatini	10	0	3	7	6:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	8	8	0	0	22:2	24
2	Niger	8	5	0	3	11:10	15
3	Tanzania	8	3	1	4	6:7	10
4	Zambia	8	3	0	5	10:10	9
5	Congo	8	0	1	7	4:24	1
6	Eritrea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ivory Coast	10	8	2	0	25:0	26
2	Gabon	10	8	1	1	22:9	25
3	Gambia	10	4	1	5	27:18	13
4	Kenya	10	3	3	4	18:14	12
5	Burundi	10	3	1	6	13:13	10
6	Seychelles	10	0	0	10	2:53	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	10	8	1	1	24:8	25
2	Uganda	10	6	0	4	14:9	18
3	Mozambique	10	6	0	4	14:17	18
4	Guinea	10	4	3	3	11:8	15
5	Botswana	10	3	1	6	12:16	10
6	Somalia	10	0	1	9	3:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tunisia	10	9	1	0	22:0	28
2	Namibia	10	4	3	3	13:10	15
3	Liberia	10	4	3	3	13:11	15
4	Malawi	10	4	1	5	11:10	13
5	Equatorial Guinea	10	3	2	5	8:15	11
6	Sao Tome and Principe	10	1	0	9	5:26	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ghana	10	8	1	1	23:6	25
2	Madagascar	10	6	1	3	17:12	19
3	Mali	10	5	3	2	17:6	18
4	Comoros	10	5	0	5	12:13	15
5	Central Africa	10	2	2	6	11:24	8
6	Chad	10	0	1	9	5:24	1