Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Cape Town Stadium

South Sudan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

South Africa play South Sudan in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Africa averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. South Sudan averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, South Africa won 2, South Sudan won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 19, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.18 for South Africa and 0.90 for South Sudan. This points to a South Africa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

South Africa

31%

Draws

22%

South Sudan

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: South Africa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

South Africa picked up more points recently compared to South Sudan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.18 vs 0.90 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

South Africa Clean Sheet 25%

South Sudan Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	South Africa	South Sudan
Matches Played	36	32
Wins	15	8
Draws	13	8
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	1.39	0.91
Goals Conceded	0.89	1.59
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

South Africa vs South Sudan

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

Sep 10, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

South Sudan vs South Africa

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Africa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rayners I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Maswanganyi P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

South Sudan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73

Avg xA / game 0.44

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa 47 / 100

South Sudan 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

South Africa South Sudan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Africa or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Africa attacking → ← attacking South Sudan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa scored in 69% of their last 36 games.

South Sudan let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

South Africa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

South Sudan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 32

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.80

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.60

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4