Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with South Africa W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Africa W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- South Africa W carry the better recent record into this one.
- South Africa W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- South Africa W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor South Africa W, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors South Africa W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 20%
Madagascar W Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Africa W | Madagascar W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 19 |
| Wins | 23 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
3:1
Aug 5, 2019 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
3:0
Sep 12, 2018 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Africa W 42 / 100
Madagascar W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Africa W Madagascar W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
South Africa W scored in 91% of their last 33 games.
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
Madagascar W let in goals in 63% of their last 19 matches.
Recent resilience: South Africa W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
South Africa W VS Madagascar W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
South Africa W
(Home) 09 Jun
Japan W
0 : 1 South Africa W
06 Jun
Japan W
5 : 0 South Africa W
17 Apr
South Africa W
2 : 0 Algeria W
14 Apr
South Africa W
1 : 0 Algeria W
01 Mar
Namibia W
2 : 1 South Africa W
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17 Apr
South Africa W
2 : 0 Algeria W
14 Apr
South Africa W
1 : 0 Algeria W
27 Feb
South Africa W
2 : 1 Zimbabwe W
24 Feb
South Africa W
1 : 1 Lesotho W
21 Feb
South Africa W
2 : 0 Angola W
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Madagascar W
(Away) 09 Jun
Madagascar W
1 : 0 South Sudan W
06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1 Madagascar W
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0 Madagascar W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1 Madagascar W
28 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 0 Botswana W
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06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1 Madagascar W
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0 Madagascar W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1 Madagascar W
26 Oct
Malawi W
1 : 0 Madagascar W
07 Oct
South Africa W
3 : 1 Madagascar W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Malawi W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Madagascar W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Comoros W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:35 | 0 |
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zambia W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Botswana W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 7 |
| 3 | Namibia W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritius W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:26 | 0 |
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zimbabwe W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Eswatini W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 3 | Angola W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 4 | Mozambique W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2019 (Play Offs)
