Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Shamase T.
(Penalty)
43'
43'
Velomanantsolo A.
65'
65'
Selana S.
AI Match Summary
South Africa W in this COSAFA Cup Women 2023 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Madagascar W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to South Africa W lately — more wins on the board than Madagascar W.
- South Africa W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- South Africa W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor South Africa W, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- South Africa W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 20%
Madagascar W Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Africa W | Madagascar W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 19 |
| Wins | 28 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.05 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.11 | 0.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
3:1
Aug 5, 2019 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
3:0
Sep 12, 2018 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Africa W Compare
Top Goalscorer Selana S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.56
Madagascar W Compare
Top Goalscorer Velomanantsolo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.5
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Africa W 42 / 100
Madagascar W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Africa W Madagascar W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
South Africa W's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 39 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Madagascar W let in goals in 63% of their last 19 matches.
South Africa W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
South Africa W VS Madagascar W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.6
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.6
88% Over 1.5 40%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
South Africa W
(Home) 13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1 Nigeria W
08 Aug
Morocco W
2 : 1 South Africa W
04 Aug
Burkina Faso W
0 : 1 South Africa W
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2 Ivory Coast W
27 Jul
South Africa W
1 : 2 Tanzania W
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13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1 Nigeria W
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2 Ivory Coast W
27 Jul
South Africa W
1 : 2 Tanzania W
17 Apr
South Africa W
2 : 0 Algeria W
14 Apr
South Africa W
1 : 0 Algeria W
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Madagascar W
(Away) 09 Jun
Madagascar W
1 : 0 South Sudan W
06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1 Madagascar W
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0 Madagascar W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1 Madagascar W
28 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 0 Botswana W
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06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1 Madagascar W
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0 Madagascar W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1 Madagascar W
26 Oct
Malawi W
1 : 0 Madagascar W
07 Oct
South Africa W
3 : 1 Madagascar W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malawi W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:4 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Eswatini W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:12 | 3 |
| 4 | Madagascar W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zambia W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Mozambique W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Angola W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Comoros W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zimbabwe W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Botswana W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Namibia W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Lesotho W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:6 | 0 |
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)
