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South China vs Eastern AA Prediction & H2H Stats

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2016/2017 Hong Kong Stadium, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Michel Lugo
17'
Sub
Xu D. In: McKee J.
Out: Xu D.
24'
Tse S. K. K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-6, with Eastern AA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
South China
15%
Draws
42%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South China

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Eastern AA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Eastern AA a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Eastern AA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
South China Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South China Eastern AA
Matches Played 38 50
Wins 21 25
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.66 1.98
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2017 Premier League
South China vs Eastern AA
1:6
Apr 30, 2017 FA Cup
South China vs Eastern AA
1:0
Mar 18, 2017 Premier League
Eastern AA vs South China
4:3
Oct 2, 2016 Premier League
South China vs Eastern AA
2:2
Apr 22, 2016 Premier League
South China vs Eastern AA
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South China Compare

Top Goalscorer Kato Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Eli D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Michel Lugo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South China 24 / 100
Eastern AA 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South China Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern AA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: South China scored in 89% of their last 38 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Eastern AA has conceded goals in 68% of their last 50 outings.

Away concern: Eastern AA has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern AA
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

South China

(Home)
20 May
South China
1 : 6
Eastern AA
14 May
Kitchee
2 : 1
South China
06 May
Yuen Long
0 : 1
South China
30 Apr
South China
1 : 0
Eastern AA
22 Apr
South China
0 : 3
Kitchee
Page 1 of 8

Eastern AA

(Away)
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0
Eastern AA
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
Page 1 of 10

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
South China 1
Eastern AA 6
Yuen Long 1
Southern District 3
Final
Eastern AA 3
Southern District 0