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South China vs Kitchee Prediction & H2H Stats

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2016/2017 Hong Kong Stadium, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Cancela D.
20'
Chu S.
23' Event
Lum J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2016/2017 game between South China and Kitchee finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kitchee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
South China
20%
Draws
46%
Kitchee
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kitchee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kitchee come out ahead of South China on wins alone.
  • Kitchee are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kitchee here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
South China Clean Sheet 13%
Kitchee Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South China Kitchee
Matches Played 38 49
Wins 21 29
Draws 4 12
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.66 2.02
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2017 FA Cup
Kitchee vs South China
2:1
Apr 22, 2017 Premier League
South China vs Kitchee
0:3
Oct 15, 2016 Premier League
Kitchee vs South China
1:1
Jan 30, 2016 Premier League
South China vs Kitchee
0:3
Dec 23, 2015 Premier League
Kitchee vs South China
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South China Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Kitchee Compare

Top Goalscorer Lum J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Helio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South China 10 / 100
Kitchee 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South China Kitchee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitchee Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: South China scored in 89% of their last 38 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Kitchee conceded in 59% of 49 recent games.

South China has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kitchee
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

South China

(Home)
20 May
South China
1 : 6
Eastern AA
14 May
Kitchee
2 : 1
South China
06 May
Yuen Long
0 : 1
South China
30 Apr
South China
1 : 0
Eastern AA
22 Apr
South China
0 : 3
Kitchee
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Kitchee

(Away)
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3
Kitchee
06 Sept
Kitchee
4 : 1
Eastern District
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0
Kitchee
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 20 16 3 1 54:8 51
2 Eastern AA 20 15 4 1 60:25 49
3 Southern District 20 10 6 4 48:21 36
4 South China 20 11 2 7 34:26 35
5 Yuen Long 20 9 4 7 36:23 31
6 Tai Po 20 9 4 7 29:21 31
7 Hong Kong Rangers 20 7 5 8 31:33 26
8 Pegasus 20 7 5 8 35:35 26
9 King Fung Football Club 20 2 4 14 24:55 10
10 Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 20 3 1 16 13:53 10
11 Hong Kong FC 20 2 0 18 13:77 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)