Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South China vs Sun Hei

Hong Kong Hong Kong

FA Cup 2012/2013 Hong Kong Stadium, Hongkong
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with South China advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
South China
15%
Draws
28%
Sun Hei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South China

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South China come out ahead of Sun Hei on wins alone.
  • Sun Hei are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • South China have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South China, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
South China Clean Sheet 20%
Sun Hei Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South China Sun Hei
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.62 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2013 FA Cup
Sun Hei vs South China
0:3
Feb 17, 2013 FA Cup
South China vs Sun Hei
3:0
Feb 18, 2012 Senior Shield
Sun Hei vs South China
2:1
Feb 4, 2012 Premier League
Sun Hei vs South China
2:4
Sep 23, 2011 Premier League
South China vs Sun Hei
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South China 16 / 100
Sun Hei 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South China Sun Hei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sun Hei Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South China scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Sun Hei has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sun Hei lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South China VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

South China

(Home)
20 May
South China
1 : 6
Eastern AA
14 May
Kitchee
2 : 1
South China
06 May
Yuen Long
0 : 1
South China
30 Apr
South China
1 : 0
Eastern AA
22 Apr
South China
0 : 3
Kitchee
Page 1 of 7

Sun Hei

(Away)
12 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 1
Eastern AA
07 Dec
Southern District
2 : 1
Sun Hei
02 Nov
Sun Hei
2 : 1
Tuen Mun
01 May
Yangon United
2 : 0
Sun Hei
24 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 3
New Radiant
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tuen Mun 3
Pegasus 6
Tai Po 3
Dreams Metro Gallery 1
Kitchee 2
Hong Kong Rangers 1
South China 6
Sun Hei 0
Semi-finals
Pegasus 2
Tai Po 0
Kitchee 3
South China 1
Final
Pegasus 0
Kitchee 1