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South East United vs Clarence Zebras

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania South East Complex, Sorell
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lynch R.
47' Event
Sartori S.
55' Event
Huigsloot L.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between South East United and Clarence Zebras finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clarence Zebras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
South East United
39%
Draws
31%
Clarence Zebras
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • South East United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
South East United Clean Sheet 10%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South East United Clarence Zebras
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South East United
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South East United vs Clarence Zebras
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South East United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartori S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Clarence Zebras Compare

Top Goalscorer Lynch R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South East United 29 / 100
Clarence Zebras 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South East United Clarence Zebras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clarence Zebras let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

South East United found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

South East United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

South East United VS Clarence Zebras
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

South East United

(Home)
19 Jul
South East United
4 : 1
Launceston United
11 Jul
Devonport
2 : 0
South East United
05 Jul
South East United
1 : 0
South Hobart
28 Jun
Launceston City
1 : 0
South East United
20 Jun
South East United
1 : 0
Glenorchy Knights
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Clarence Zebras

(Away)
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
11 Jul
Clarence Zebras
1 : 2
Launceston City
04 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
27 Jun
Clarence Zebras
1 : 1
Launceston United
20 Jun
Devonport
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
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