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South East United vs Hobart United

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship 2023
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AI Match Summary

South East United play Hobart United in the Tasmania Southern Championship 2023. South East United are favorites here. Recently, South East United averaged 1.38 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. Hobart United averaged 2.25 goals scored and 4.75 conceded. In past meetings, South East United won 4, Hobart United won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 2, 2025 ended 0:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.06 for South East United and 2.69 for Hobart United. This points to a South East United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South East United
6%
Draws
4%
Hobart United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South East United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South East United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hobart United.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for South East United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tasmania Southern Championship 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
South East United Clean Sheet 10%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South East United Hobart United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 3.13 4.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 4.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs South East United
0:7
Jul 16, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
South East United vs Hobart United
8:0
Aug 17, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
South East United vs Hobart United
4:0
Jun 15, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs South East United
1:4
Mar 16, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
South East United vs Hobart United
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South East United 83 / 100
Hobart United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South East United Hobart United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South East United scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Hobart United let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

South East United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hobart United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South East United VS Hobart United
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 4.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Town Eagles16113262:2136
2South East United16101573:5331
3South Hobart U211692548:4229
4Olympia Warriors1682641:3626
5University of Tasmania1681750:4125
6Taroona1673643:3724
7Hobart United1663727:3321
8Metro Claremont16311234:7310
9Hobart City16121319:615