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South East United vs Launceston United

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania South East Complex
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
04:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South East United play Launceston United in the NPL Tasmania. South East United are favorites here. Recently, South East United averaged 1.38 goals scored and 3.75 conceded. Launceston United averaged 1.38 goals scored and 4.13 conceded. In past meetings, South East United won 1, Launceston United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 4:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for South East United and 2.56 for Launceston United. This points to a South East United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
South East United
44%
Draws
20%
Launceston United
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • South East United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Launceston United.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Tasmania provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
South East United Clean Sheet 10%
Launceston United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South East United Launceston United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.75 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs South East United
4:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South East United 34 / 100
Launceston United 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South East United Launceston United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South East United scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Launceston United let in goals in 100% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 10.00 goals.

South East United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Launceston United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South East United VS Launceston United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
3.75 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%