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South East United vs Nelson Eastern Suburbs

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South East United play Nelson Eastern Suburbs in the Tasmania Southern Championship 2019. South East United are favorites here. Recently, South East United averaged 3.38 goals scored and 2.02 conceded. Nelson Eastern Suburbs averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.71 conceded. In past meetings, South East United won 1, Nelson Eastern Suburbs won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 31, 2019 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for South East United and 1.50 for Nelson Eastern Suburbs. This points to a South East United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
South East United
15%
Draws
23%
Nelson Eastern Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South East United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • South East United picked up more points recently compared to Nelson Eastern Suburbs.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
South East United Clean Sheet 16%
Nelson Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South East United Nelson Eastern Suburbs
Matches Played 40 21
Wins 22 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 3.38 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.02 2.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2019 Tasmania Southern Championship
Nelson Eastern Suburbs vs South East United
2:3
Jul 13, 2019 Tasmania Southern Championship
South East United vs Nelson Eastern Suburbs
0:2
May 25, 2019 Tasmania Southern Championship
Nelson Eastern Suburbs vs South East United
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South East United 59 / 100
Nelson Eastern Suburbs 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South East United Nelson Eastern Suburbs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South East United Win (1)
Secondary Pick South East United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South East United attacking → ← attacking Nelson Eastern Suburbs

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South East United scored in 83% of their last 40 games.

Nelson Eastern Suburbs let in goals in 86% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

South East United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nelson Eastern Suburbs lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 13
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00