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South East United vs Ulverstone

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania South East Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Sartori S.
90' Event
Huigsloot L.

AI Match Summary

South East United in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored South East United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
South East United
20%
Draws
38%
Ulverstone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South East United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • South East United have won more games recently than Ulverstone.
  • Model gives South East United a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
South East United Clean Sheet 10%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South East United Ulverstone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 3 1
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.13 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South East United vs Ulverstone
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South East United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartori S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Huigsloot L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ulverstone Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South East United 40 / 100
Ulverstone 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South East United Ulverstone

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ulverstone conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

South East United found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Ulverstone has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

South East United VS Ulverstone
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%