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South Hobart U21 vs Hobart United

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
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AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Southern Championship game between South Hobart U21 and Hobart United finished 13-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Hobart U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Hobart U21
6%
Draws
4%
Hobart United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Hobart U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Hobart U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans South Hobart U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).
  • History favors South Hobart U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
South Hobart U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart U21 Hobart United
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 22 9
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 4.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 5.38
Expected Goals (xG) 4.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 5.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart United
13:0
Aug 9, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs South Hobart U21
3:6
May 31, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart United
6:1
Jul 13, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs South Hobart U21
4:1
Apr 21, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart United
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart U21 95 / 100
Hobart United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart U21 Hobart United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hobart United conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.60 goals when they meet.

South Hobart U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart U21 VS Hobart United
4.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 5.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Hobart U211391362:2028
2Olympia Warriors1391337:2028
3Hobart City1374235:2425
4New Town Eagles1365239:1723
5Clarence Zebras U211371536:3222
6Taroona1363444:1921
7Hobart United1432927:6511
8University of Tasmania1331927:4810
9Glenorchy Knights U211322931:498
10South East United U2160066:500