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South Hobart U21 vs Hobart United Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tasmania Southern Championship
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AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Southern Championship game between South Hobart U21 and Hobart United finished 13-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Hobart U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
South Hobart U21
20%
Draws
19%
Hobart United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Hobart U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • South Hobart U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans South Hobart U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors South Hobart U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
South Hobart U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart U21 Hobart United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 3.97 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.69 4.37
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs South Hobart U21
0:5
May 31, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart United
13:0
Aug 9, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs South Hobart U21
3:6
May 31, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart United
6:1
Jul 13, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs South Hobart U21
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart U21 95 / 100
Hobart United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart U21 Hobart United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Hobart U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart U21's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hobart United conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.80 goals when they meet.

South Hobart U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart U21 VS Hobart United
4.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

South Hobart U21

(Home)
22 Aug
Hobart United
0 : 5
South Hobart U21
09 Aug
South Hobart U21
3 : 3
Hobart City
31 Jul
South Hobart U21
2 : 0
Taroona
18 Jul
South Hobart U21
5 : 0
University of Tasmania
11 Jul
New Town Eagles
0 : 3
South Hobart U21
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Hobart United

(Away)
22 Aug
Hobart United
0 : 5
South Hobart U21
07 Aug
Glenorchy Knights U21
3 : 6
Hobart United
31 Jul
Olympia Warriors
8 : 1
Hobart United
11 Jul
Hobart United
2 : 4
Hobart City
04 Jul
Taroona
1 : 1
Hobart United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Hobart U21 17 12 2 3 77:23 38
2 Olympia Warriors 17 11 2 4 51:26 35
3 New Town Eagles 16 9 5 2 54:17 32
4 Taroona 17 9 3 5 63:24 30
5 Hobart City 16 8 6 2 43:28 30
6 Clarence Zebras U21 16 7 1 8 37:41 22
7 Hobart United 17 4 2 11 34:81 14
8 Glenorchy Knights U21 17 3 2 12 37:79 11
9 University of Tasmania 17 3 1 13 29:62 10
10 South East United U21 6 0 0 6 6:50 0
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