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South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Darcy Street
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Hobart play Clarence Zebras in the NPL Tasmania. South Hobart are favorites here. Recently, South Hobart averaged 4 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Clarence Zebras averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, South Hobart won 5, Clarence Zebras won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 13, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.81 for South Hobart and 1.31 for Clarence Zebras. This points to a South Hobart double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Hobart
6%
Draws
4%
Clarence Zebras
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Hobart has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Clarence Zebras.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for South Hobart.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Tasmania provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 68%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart Clarence Zebras
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 4 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart
1:3
Mar 15, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart
2:5
Jun 28, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras
3:0
Apr 27, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuel D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maddock R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Clarence Zebras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart 95 / 100
Clarence Zebras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart Clarence Zebras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Clarence Zebras let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

South Hobart went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Clarence Zebras lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart VS Clarence Zebras
4 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%