Sport Picks
South Hobart vs Devonport
Australia
NPL Tasmania Darcy Street, Hobart 
Match Events
20'
20'
Payne J.
35'
35'
Lancaster J.
55'
55'
Kokubo M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 5-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Hobart
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and South Hobart come out ahead of Devonport on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- South Hobart have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor South Hobart, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- South Hobart have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 13%
Devonport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Hobart | Devonport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 32 |
| Wins | 26 | 20 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 3.24 | 3.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
5:1
Aug 23, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
0:3
Jul 18, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs South Hobart
1:3
May 2, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs South Hobart
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Hobart Compare
Top Goalscorer Kokubo M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lancaster J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Devonport Compare
Top Goalscorer Payne J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Hobart 35 / 100
Devonport 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Hobart Devonport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Devonport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
South Hobart found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (38 games).
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Devonport conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.
South Hobart went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
South Hobart VS Devonport
2.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
South Hobart
(Home) 05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1 Devonport
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2 Kingborough Lions
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3 Devonport
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2 Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1 Launceston City
Page 1 of 8
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1 Devonport
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2 Kingborough Lions
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3 Devonport
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2 Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1 Launceston City
Page 1 of 5
Devonport
(Away) 05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1 Devonport
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3 Devonport
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1 Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0 Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2 Devonport
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1 Devonport
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3 Devonport
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2 Devonport
25 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 6 Devonport
28 Jun
Kingborough Lions
2 : 1 Devonport
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
South Hobart -
TBD -
Devonport 2
Kingborough Lions 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
South Hobart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingborough Lions -
TBD -
Launceston City 2
Clarence Zebras 1
Quarter-finals
South Hobart 0
Devonport 3
TBD -
TBD -
South Hobart -
TBD -
Kingborough Lions 5
Launceston City 0
Semi-finals
Devonport -
TBD -
South Hobart 4
Kingborough Lions 2
Final
Devonport 1
South Hobart 5
