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South Hobart vs Devonport

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Darcy Street, Hobart
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Maddock R.
25' Event
Last B.
32' Event
Samuel D.

AI Match Summary

South Hobart in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Hobart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
South Hobart
15%
Draws
42%
Devonport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Devonport haven't matched South Hobart's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and South Hobart have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 13%
Devonport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart Devonport
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 26 20
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 3.24 3.03
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
5:1
Aug 23, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
0:3
Jul 18, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs South Hobart
1:3
May 2, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs South Hobart
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Maddock R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Samuel D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Last B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Denehey B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart 35 / 100
Devonport 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart Devonport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devonport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (38 games).

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Devonport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: South Hobart stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart VS Devonport
2.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

South Hobart

(Home)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2
Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1
Launceston City
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Devonport

(Away)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
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