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South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Darcy Street, Hobart
South Hobart Logo

South Hobart

Sat, Aug 29, 2026
4 - 2
04:00 AM
Kingborough Lions Logo

Kingborough Lions

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pitt R.
30' Event
Yost A.
45' Event
Wright E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. This leg finished 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
South Hobart
15%
Draws
36%
Kingborough Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Hobart lately — more wins on the board than Kingborough Lions.
  • South Hobart are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • South Hobart have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Hobart, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors South Hobart here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 10%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart Kingborough Lions
Matches Played 38 34
Wins 26 23
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 3.24 2.56
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions
4:2
Jun 21, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions
5:1
Jul 26, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions
4:1
May 24, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Yost A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kemp K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Kingborough Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitt R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wright E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart 83 / 100
Kingborough Lions 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart Kingborough Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Hobart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: South Hobart scored in 89% of their last 38 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Kingborough Lions let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.

South Hobart has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart VS Kingborough Lions
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

South Hobart

(Home)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2
Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1
Launceston City
Page 1 of 8

Kingborough Lions

(Away)
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
22 Aug
Kingborough Lions
5 : 0
Launceston City
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1
Clarence Zebras
01 Aug
Kingborough Lions
2 : 0
Launceston United
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
South Hobart -
TBD -
Devonport 2
Kingborough Lions 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
South Hobart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingborough Lions -
TBD -
Launceston City 2
Clarence Zebras 1
Quarter-finals
South Hobart 0
Devonport 3
TBD -
TBD -
South Hobart -
TBD -
Kingborough Lions 5
Launceston City 0
Semi-finals
Devonport -
TBD -
South Hobart 4
Kingborough Lions 2
Final
Devonport 1
South Hobart 5