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South Hobart vs Queensland Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australian Championship Darcy Street, Hobart
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Hobart host Queensland Lions in the Australian Championship. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. South Hobart have averaged 2.83 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Queensland Lions's 2.55 scored and 0.93 conceded. Head-to-head, South Hobart have won 1 to Queensland Lions's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.13, favoring Queensland Lions. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
South Hobart
15%
Draws
42%
Queensland Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Queensland Lions come out ahead of South Hobart on wins alone.
  • Model gives South Hobart a 43% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Australian Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 10%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart Queensland Lions
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 24
Draws 3 1
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.83 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Australian Championship
Queensland Lions vs South Hobart
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart 47 / 100
Queensland Lions 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart Queensland Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Hobart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

South Hobart went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Queensland Lions has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart VS Queensland Lions
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

South Hobart

(Home)
31 Oct
South Hobart
1 : 2
Preston Lions
25 Oct
Wollongong
2 : 0
South Hobart
18 Oct
Queensland Lions
1 : 2
South Hobart
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
Page 1 of 6

Queensland Lions

(Away)
31 Oct
Wollongong
1 : 3
Queensland Lions
22 Oct
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Preston Lions
18 Oct
Queensland Lions
1 : 2
South Hobart
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Melbourne 3 3 0 0 5:1 8
2 Sydney Utd 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Sutherland Sharks 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 Canberra Croatia 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Broadmeadow Magic FC 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
2 Wests APIA 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Avondale FC 3 1 0 2 6:9 2
4 Adelaide City 3 0 0 3 5:9 1
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 3 2 0 1 5:3 7
2 Oakleigh Cannons 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Sydney Olympic 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Marconi Stallions 3 1 0 2 4:6 2
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Wollongong 3 2 0 1 4:3 5
3 Preston Lions 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
4 South Hobart 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)