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South Hobart vs Wollongong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australian Championship Darcy Street, Hobart
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Hobart host Wollongong in the Australian Championship. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Wollongong have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while South Hobart have conceded 1.52 and scored 2.83. Head-to-head, South Hobart have won 0 to Wollongong's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.25 - 1.44) back South Hobart to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
South Hobart
15%
Draws
42%
Wollongong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • South Hobart have won more games recently than Wollongong.
  • Win probability leans South Hobart's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Australian Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Wollongong here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 16%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart Wollongong
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.83 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Australian Championship
Wollongong vs South Hobart
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Australian Championship
Wollongong vs South Hobart
3:2
Oct 12, 2025 Australian Championship
South Hobart vs Wollongong
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart 57 / 100
Wollongong 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart Wollongong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Hobart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Wollongong let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

South Hobart has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart VS Wollongong
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

South Hobart

(Home)
31 Oct
South Hobart
1 : 2
Preston Lions
25 Oct
Wollongong
2 : 0
South Hobart
18 Oct
Queensland Lions
1 : 2
South Hobart
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
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Wollongong

(Away)
31 Oct
Wollongong
1 : 3
Queensland Lions
25 Oct
Wollongong
2 : 0
South Hobart
15 Oct
Preston Lions
0 : 1
Wollongong
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4
Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Melbourne 3 3 0 0 5:1 8
2 Sydney Utd 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Sutherland Sharks 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 Canberra Croatia 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Broadmeadow Magic FC 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
2 Wests APIA 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Avondale FC 3 1 0 2 6:9 2
4 Adelaide City 3 0 0 3 5:9 1
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Bayswater 3 2 0 1 5:3 7
3 Sydney Olympic 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
4 Marconi Stallions 3 1 0 2 4:6 2
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Wollongong 3 2 0 1 4:3 5
3 Preston Lions 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
4 South Hobart 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)