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South Korea U19 vs Japan U19

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U19
Wed, Mar 3, 2021
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Korea U19 play Japan U19 in the AFC Championship U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Korea U19 averaged 3.04 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Japan U19 averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, South Korea U19 won 1, Japan U19 won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 3, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.58 for South Korea U19 and 1.73 for Japan U19. This points to a South Korea U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
South Korea U19
20%
Draws
27%
Japan U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Korea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • South Korea U19 picked up more points recently compared to Japan U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.58 vs 1.73 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
South Korea U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Japan U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U19 Japan U19
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 21 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 3.04 2.06
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2021 AFC Championship U19
South Korea U19 vs Japan U19
0:0
Oct 13, 2014 AFC Championship U19
South Korea U19 vs Japan U19
1:2
Aug 19, 2012 Friendly International
Japan U19 vs South Korea U19
0:0
Oct 11, 2010 AFC Championship U19
Japan U19 vs South Korea U19
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U19 50 / 100
Japan U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U19 Japan U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick South Korea U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Korea U19 attacking → ← attacking Japan U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea U19 scored in 96% of their last 27 games.

Japan U19 let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

South Korea U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Japan U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 41
1.67 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50