Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Championship Women U19

Japan U19 W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

South Korea U19 W play Japan U19 W in the AFC Championship Women U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Korea U19 W averaged 2.64 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Japan U19 W averaged 3.08 goals scored and 0.59 conceded. In past meetings, South Korea U19 W won 1, Japan U19 W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 31, 2019 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.55 for South Korea U19 W and 2.39 for Japan U19 W. This points to a Japan U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

South Korea U19 W

15%

Draws

50%

Japan U19 W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

South Korea U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Japan U19 W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.55 vs 2.39 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

South Korea U19 W Clean Sheet 10%

Japan U19 W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	South Korea U19 W	Japan U19 W
Matches Played	28	37
Wins	16	30
Draws	2	3
Losses	10	4
Goals Scored	2.64	3.08
Goals Conceded	1.11	0.59
Expected Goals (xG)	2.60	3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.40	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2019 AFC Championship Women U19

South Korea U19 W vs Japan U19 W

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Oct 22, 2017 AFC Championship Women U19

Japan U19 W vs South Korea U19 W

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Aug 26, 2015 AFC Championship Women U19

Japan U19 W vs South Korea U19 W

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Oct 15, 2013 AFC Championship Women U19

Japan U19 W vs South Korea U19 W

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Oct 8, 2011 AFC Championship Women U19

Japan U19 W vs South Korea U19 W

Possession: 60% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2

Avg xA / game 1.3

Japan U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanno O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yamamoto Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.07

Avg xA / game 1.88

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U19 W 34 / 100

Japan U19 W 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

South Korea U19 W Japan U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Japan U19 W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Korea U19 W attacking → ← attacking Japan U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea U19 W scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Japan U19 W let in goals in 35% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

South Korea U19 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Japan U19 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 93

2.60 Goals expected (xG) 3.38

1.40 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	North Korea U19 W	3	3	0	11:2	9
2	Australia U19 W	3	2	1	5:6	6
3	Vietnam U19 W	3	1	2	2:4	3
4	Thailand U19 W	3	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U19 W	3	3	0	9:1	9
2	South Korea U19 W	3	2	1	3:3	6
3	China U19 W	3	1	2	7:5	3
4	Myanmar U19 W	3	0	3	1:11	0