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South Korea U20 W vs Ecuador U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women U20 Stadion ŁKS, Lodz
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lee Hae-Un
Assist: Han Min-Seo
46'
Sub
Arboleda D. In: Vargas E.
Out: Arboleda D.
51'
Pico F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
South Korea U20 W
20%
Draws
40%
Ecuador U20 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ecuador U20 W haven't matched South Korea U20 W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ecuador U20 W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • South Korea U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Korea U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
South Korea U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Ecuador U20 W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U20 W Ecuador U20 W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.9 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 2.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 World Cup Women U20
South Korea U20 W vs Ecuador U20 W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Hae-Un
1 Goals
Assists Leader Park Ju-Ha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58

Ecuador U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Moran Gurumendi D. Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burgos Cedeno E. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.01
Avg xA / game 1.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U20 W 18 / 100
Ecuador U20 W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U20 W Ecuador U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U20 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

South Korea U20 W scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Ecuador U20 W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

South Korea U20 W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Korea U20 W VS Ecuador U20 W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.29
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
100% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

South Korea U20 W

(Home)
19 Sept
South Korea U20 W
1 : 3
Italy U20 W
16 Sept
Argentina U20 W
0 : 1
South Korea U20 W
12 Sept
South Korea U20 W
3 : 2
Ecuador U20 W
09 Sept
Ghana U20 W
3 : 1
South Korea U20 W
06 Sept
France U20 W
1 : 1
South Korea U20 W
Page 1 of 7

Ecuador U20 W

(Away)
12 Sept
South Korea U20 W
3 : 2
Ecuador U20 W
09 Sept
France U20 W
3 : 2
Ecuador U20 W
06 Sept
Ecuador U20 W
3 : 0
Ghana U20 W
28 Feb
Ecuador U20 W
5 : 1
Paraguay U20 W
25 Feb
Ecuador U20 W
1 : 1
Brazil U20 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Argentina U20 W 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
3 Mexico U20 W 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
4 Benin U20 W 3 0 1 2 3:14 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 England U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Canada U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
4 Tanzania U20 W 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U20 W 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 South Korea U20 W 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Ecuador U20 W 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
4 Ghana U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U20 W 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Japan U20 W 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 USA U20 W 3 1 1 1 12:4 4
4 New Zealand U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Portugal U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Colombia U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Costa Rica U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U20 W 3 3 0 0 16:1 9
2 Nigeria U20 W 3 1 1 1 10:3 4
3 China U20 W 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
4 New Caledonia U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:26 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)